Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 56.4%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 88.8%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 77.2%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Hayes
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hayes
Fiddler
Last 8: Hayes 5-3 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Fiddler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Fiddler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
53.7% (4,899)
-6.1%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
50.0% (154)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
46.9% (1,479)
-1.5%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Hayes shoots left. Fiddler is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Hayes
Fiddler
Home
48.1% (3,982)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Hayes
Fiddler
P1
47.5%
52.1%
P2
47.7%
52.6%
P3
47.9%
52.0%
OT
54.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |