Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Fiddler 53.2% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 63.0%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 86.6%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 81.7%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Hayes
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hayes
Fiddler
Last 6: Hayes 4-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
54.7% (561)
-9.3%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
48.3% (120)
-3.1%
On power play, Fiddler has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Hayes shoots left. Fiddler is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Hayes
Fiddler
Home
46.6% (459)
53.9% (308)
Away
44.8% (509)
53.5% (381)
By Period
Hayes
Fiddler
P1
43.0%
53.1%
P2
49.5%
53.2%
P3
44.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
44.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |