Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Porter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Porter wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Porter 41.2% vs Kesler 55.9% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 81.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 86.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 87.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Porter
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Porter
Kesler
Last 9: Porter 6-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Porter
4
2
Porter
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Porter
2
1
Porter
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Porter
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (469)
56.4% (8,095)
-17.2%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
60.7% (1,437)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
50.5% (1,908)
-14.3%
On even strength, Kesler has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Porter is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Porter shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Porter
Kesler
Home
41.6% (274)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
37.3% (260)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Porter
Kesler
P1
37.1%
56.5%
P2
44.9%
55.9%
P3
36.7%
56.1%
OT
0.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |