Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Porter wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Porter 41.2% vs Nichol 58.2% (-19.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Porter 80.5%
Defensive zone
Porter 83.1%
Neutral zone
Porter 87.3%
Result
Kevin Porter favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Porter
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Porter
Nichol
Last 8: Porter 1-7 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Porter
Nichol
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Porter
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
5
Porter
Nichol
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Porter
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (469)
59.0% (948)
-19.8%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
42.9% (14)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
59.5% (185)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Porter is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Porter shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Porter
Nichol
Home
41.6% (274)
59.7% (576)
Away
37.3% (260)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Porter
Nichol
P1
37.1%
58.4%
P2
44.9%
57.3%
P3
36.7%
61.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |