Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Porter wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Porter 41.2% vs Johnson 49.7% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Porter 54.8%
Defensive zone
Porter 61.7%
Neutral zone
Porter 54.3%
Result
Kevin Porter favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Porter
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Porter
Johnson
Last 10: Porter 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Porter
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Porter
2
1
Porter
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Porter
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Porter
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (469)
49.8% (5,396)
-10.6%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
54.6% (885)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
42.3% (707)
-6.1%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Porter is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Porter shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Porter
Johnson
Home
41.6% (274)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
37.3% (260)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Porter
Johnson
P1
37.1%
50.1%
P2
44.9%
50.6%
P3
36.7%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
39.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Kevin Porter |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Kevin Porter |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |