Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Rooney 45.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 80.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 54.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 60.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Coyle
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Coyle
Rooney
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Rooney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Rooney
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
2
Coyle
Rooney
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
46.8% (378)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
33.3% (12)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
33.3% (48)
+13.6%
On power play, Coyle has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Rooney is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rooney
Home
52.5% (238)
48.0% (221)
Away
44.6% (269)
41.9% (217)
By Period
Coyle
Rooney
P1
49.7%
50.0%
P2
49.5%
48.5%
P3
46.3%
34.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |