Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Rooney 45.8% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 76.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 90.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 83.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Stepan
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Stepan
Rooney
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
1
Stepan
Rooney
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Rooney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Rooney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
45.5% (367)
+9.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
44.4% (9)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
35.7% (28)
+29.0%
On power play, Rooney has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Rooney is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Stepan
Rooney
Home
54.5% (222)
47.5% (219)
Away
57.2% (222)
41.6% (185)
By Period
Stepan
Rooney
P1
57.5%
46.4%
P2
54.7%
46.3%
P3
55.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |