Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.2%). Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Rooney 46.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 85.7%
Defensive zone
Rooney 52.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 59.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Stepan
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Stepan
Rooney
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
9
1
Stepan
Rooney
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Rooney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
4
5
Stepan
Rooney
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
46.7% (2,042)
-0.2%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
41.7% (48)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
43.4% (267)
+0.8%
On power play, Stepan has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Rooney is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Stepan
Rooney
Home
47.6% (6,608)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Stepan
Rooney
P1
47.5%
48.1%
P2
45.6%
47.1%
P3
46.8%
43.6%
OT
40.7%
12.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |