Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Rooney 45.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.0%
Defensive zone
Rooney 73.7%
Neutral zone
Rooney 57.0%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Hayes
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Hayes
Rooney
Last 9: Hayes 3-6 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
2
Hayes
Rooney
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
1
Hayes
Rooney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
3
Hayes
Rooney
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
46.8% (378)
+1.9%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
33.3% (12)
+27.9%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
33.3% (48)
+1.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Hayes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Hayes shoots left. Rooney is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rooney
Home
50.6% (237)
48.0% (221)
Away
47.3% (241)
41.9% (217)
By Period
Hayes
Rooney
P1
43.9%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
48.5%
P3
55.9%
34.9%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |