Scouting Report
Kevin Rooney holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Rooney 45.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 60.2%
Defensive zone
Rooney 69.0%
Neutral zone
Rooney 56.9%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Hayes
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayes
Rooney
Last 7: Hayes 5-2 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Rooney
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Rooney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Rooney
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
45.5% (367)
-2.8%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
44.4% (9)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
35.7% (28)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Rooney is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rooney
Home
43.5% (232)
47.5% (219)
Away
42.4% (375)
41.6% (185)
By Period
Hayes
Rooney
P1
40.1%
46.4%
P2
44.8%
46.3%
P3
42.4%
42.0%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |