Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rooney wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 45.9% vs Oshie 48.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 84.3%
Defensive zone
Rooney 80.0%
Neutral zone
Rooney 54.8%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Rooney
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Rooney
Oshie
Last 10: Rooney 5-5 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
5
Rooney
Oshie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
4
0
Rooney
Oshie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
2
1
Rooney
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (378)
43.3% (127)
+3.5%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
51.7% (151)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (48)
50.0% (12)
-16.7%
On power play, Oshie has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Rooney is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Rooney shoots left. Oshie is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Rooney
Oshie
Home
48.0% (221)
42.1% (164)
Away
41.9% (217)
55.6% (126)
By Period
Rooney
Oshie
P1
50.0%
44.7%
P2
48.5%
47.8%
P3
34.9%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
45.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |