Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Rooney leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 79.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 59.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 67.3%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Rooney
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Rooney
Nosek
Last 10: Rooney 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
2
1
Rooney
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Rooney
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
4
1
Rooney
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
54.9% (2,674)
-8.2%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
44.7% (47)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
47.4% (424)
-4.0%
On even strength, Nosek has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Rooney
Nosek
Home
47.4% (1,227)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Rooney
Nosek
P1
48.1%
52.3%
P2
47.1%
54.0%
P3
43.6%
54.6%
OT
12.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |