Anthony Cirelli vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 92.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 71.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 81.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Cirelli
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Cirelli
Stenlund
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
8
Cirelli
Stenlund
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Cirelli
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
56.1% (615)
-5.7%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
53.2% (47)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
52.1% (307)
-15.6%
On power play, Cirelli has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stenlund
Home
54.2% (395)
57.0% (458)
Away
45.0% (509)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Cirelli
Stenlund
P1
50.8%
55.1%
P2
50.0%
53.3%
P3
46.6%
56.4%
OT
33.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |