Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 52.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 93.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 67.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Eichel
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Eichel
Stenlund
Last 8: Eichel 6-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
0
Eichel
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Eichel
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
56.1% (615)
-8.4%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
53.2% (47)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
52.1% (307)
-7.3%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Eichel is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Eichel shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stenlund
Home
47.7% (509)
57.0% (458)
Away
48.1% (499)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Eichel
Stenlund
P1
49.5%
55.1%
P2
48.5%
53.3%
P3
46.8%
56.4%
OT
37.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |