Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Eichel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 62.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 96.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 88.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Eichel
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Eichel
Stenlund
Last 10: Eichel 8-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
11
0
Eichel
Stenlund
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
6
Eichel
Stenlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
55.3% (2,703)
-10.6%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
52.6% (116)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
50.6% (919)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Eichel shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stenlund
Home
45.7% (4,899)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Eichel
Stenlund
P1
45.4%
56.4%
P2
45.8%
53.3%
P3
44.2%
52.8%
OT
44.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |