Kevin Stenlund vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 55.3%). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Danault 54.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 75.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 64.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 53.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Stenlund
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stenlund
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
56.5% (711)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
46.0% (50)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
51.7% (116)
+0.4%
On power play, Stenlund has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Danault
Home
57.0% (458)
57.0% (379)
Away
52.6% (511)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Stenlund
Danault
P1
55.1%
55.8%
P2
53.3%
55.3%
P3
56.4%
54.8%
OT
42.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |