Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Rakell 41.7% (+18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 57.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 92.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 62.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Stenlund
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stenlund
Rakell
Last 7: Stenlund 4-3 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
2
Stenlund
Rakell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
1
Stenlund
Rakell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
36.8% (114)
+19.3%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
42.3% (26)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
0.0% (7)
+52.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Stenlund shoots right. Rakell is 31.6% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rakell
Home
57.0% (458)
41.2% (68)
Away
52.6% (511)
31.6% (79)
By Period
Stenlund
Rakell
P1
55.1%
34.5%
P2
53.3%
38.5%
P3
56.4%
33.3%
OT
42.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |