Kevin Stenlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 77.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (500)
47.6% (189)
+7.4%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (243)
29.4% (17)
+21.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stenlund is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Stenlund shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.5% (346)
48.5% (132)
Away
51.7% (437)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.4%
51.4%
P2
51.7%
41.3%
P3
54.8%
48.5%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |