Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.0% vs Laughton 55.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 62.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 66.0%
Neutral zone
Laughton 65.4%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Stenlund
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stenlund
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (500)
54.0% (324)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
100.0% (3)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (243)
64.2% (109)
-13.6%
On power play, Laughton has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Stenlund is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Stenlund shoots right. Laughton is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Laughton
Home
55.5% (346)
55.2% (210)
Away
51.7% (437)
58.4% (226)
By Period
Stenlund
Laughton
P1
54.4%
53.5%
P2
51.7%
61.7%
P3
54.8%
54.9%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.4%
Laughton
50.0%▼
53.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |