Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Laughton 56.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 52.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 60.5%
Neutral zone
Laughton 61.5%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Stenlund
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stenlund
Laughton
Last 6: Stenlund 4-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Stenlund
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
1
Stenlund
Laughton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
55.2% (455)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
75.0% (4)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
62.8% (137)
-10.7%
On power play, Laughton has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Laughton is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Laughton
Home
57.0% (458)
57.4% (263)
Away
52.6% (511)
56.8% (333)
By Period
Stenlund
Laughton
P1
55.1%
55.3%
P2
53.3%
61.4%
P3
56.4%
53.5%
OT
42.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |