Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.3%). Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Zajac 54.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 51.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 77.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 59.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Stenlund
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Stenlund
Zajac
Last 7: Stenlund 1-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
6
Stenlund
Zajac
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
54.4% (9,056)
+0.9%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
59.1% (1,498)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
48.6% (1,599)
+2.0%
On power play, Zajac has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Stenlund shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zajac
Home
54.3% (1,848)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Stenlund
Zajac
P1
56.4%
53.8%
P2
53.3%
55.6%
P3
52.8%
53.6%
OT
52.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |