Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 44.5% vs Zajac 52.6% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 90.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 78.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Stenlund
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Stenlund
Zajac
Last 7: Stenlund 1-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
6
Stenlund
Zajac
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (125)
53.9% (851)
-13.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
49.0% (49)
+1.0%
On even strength, Zajac has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stenlund is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Stenlund shoots right. Zajac is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zajac
Home
41.9% (62)
53.3% (533)
Away
38.8% (67)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Stenlund
Zajac
P1
54.8%
54.3%
P2
17.8%
51.8%
P3
51.2%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
28.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
40.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |