Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Dach 35.5% (+24.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 88.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Staal
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Dach
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Dach
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Dach
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Dach
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
32.5% (510)
+26.4%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
36.8% (19)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
37.5% (16)
+11.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Staal
Dach
Home
59.0% (578)
33.5% (278)
Away
55.9% (707)
32.2% (267)
By Period
Staal
Dach
P1
57.1%
35.3%
P2
60.9%
30.6%
P3
55.8%
33.7%
OT
20.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |