Scouting Report
Kris Draper holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draper wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draper 54.1% vs Fisher 51.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 69.9%
Defensive zone
Draper 61.4%
Neutral zone
Fisher 58.9%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Draper
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Draper
Fisher
Last 9: Draper 4-5 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
4
Draper
Fisher
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draper
4
0
Draper
Fisher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
1
Draper
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draper
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (78)
51.4% (6,100)
+1.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
53.8% (1,126)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (86)
48.8% (781)
+9.3%
On power play, Draper has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Draper is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Draper shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Home / Away
Draper
Fisher
Home
62.0% (71)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
52.6% (97)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Draper
Fisher
P1
55.6%
49.6%
P2
58.3%
52.8%
P3
56.7%
52.2%
OT
33.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
61.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draper
62.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |