Scouting Report
Kris Draper holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draper wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draper 54.1% vs Fisher 48.4% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 75.8%
Defensive zone
Draper 59.8%
Neutral zone
Fisher 55.0%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Draper
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Draper
Fisher
Last 9: Draper 4-5 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
4
Draper
Fisher
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draper
4
0
Draper
Fisher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
1
Draper
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draper
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (78)
47.4% (939)
+5.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
52.2% (178)
+47.8%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (86)
47.9% (121)
+10.2%
On power play, Draper has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Draper is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Draper shoots left. Fisher is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Draper
Fisher
Home
62.0% (71)
50.6% (693)
Away
52.6% (97)
45.4% (553)
By Period
Draper
Fisher
P1
55.6%
48.9%
P2
58.3%
47.2%
P3
56.7%
49.3%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
61.4%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draper
62.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |