Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +22.1% FO% edge overall. Versteeg wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Versteeg 43.9% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-22.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Versteeg 74.7%
Defensive zone
Versteeg 52.4%
Neutral zone
Versteeg 60.2%
Result
Kris Versteeg favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Versteeg
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Versteeg
O'Reilly
Last 6: Versteeg 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Versteeg
2
0
Versteeg
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Versteeg
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Versteeg
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Versteeg
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (42)
52.7% (900)
-19.4%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
55.6% (225)
-38.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Versteeg is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Versteeg shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Versteeg
O'Reilly
Home
38.5% (26)
55.1% (693)
Away
22.7% (22)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Versteeg
O'Reilly
P1
15.8%
51.5%
P2
35.0%
54.7%
P3
55.6%
52.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Versteeg
50.0%▼
54.5%
31.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Kris Versteeg |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Kris Versteeg |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |