Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Brodziak 51.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 72.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 52.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Lowry
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Brodziak
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Brodziak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Brodziak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Brodziak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
53.4% (631)
+5.2%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
40.0% (15)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
46.3% (121)
+7.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Lowry is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Lowry shoots left. Brodziak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Lowry
Brodziak
Home
61.0% (602)
53.9% (410)
Away
53.7% (514)
49.9% (357)
By Period
Lowry
Brodziak
P1
57.3%
53.2%
P2
58.1%
56.1%
P3
57.4%
46.9%
Final 5 min
61.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |