Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDonald wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 48.7% vs Brodziak 49.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 82.6%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 85.7%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 55.7%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
McDonald
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McDonald
Brodziak
Last 7: McDonald 5-2 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
4
0
McDonald
Brodziak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
McDonald
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDonald
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (103)
49.1% (601)
-4.4%
Power Play
51.8% (85)
60.4% (53)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
45.9% (109)
+4.1%
On power play, Brodziak has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. McDonald is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
McDonald shoots left. Brodziak is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
McDonald
Brodziak
Home
43.8% (105)
50.5% (374)
Away
52.7% (93)
48.3% (389)
By Period
McDonald
Brodziak
P1
47.4%
49.1%
P2
48.5%
51.8%
P3
44.9%
46.6%
OT
83.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |