Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 56.4% vs Brodziak 51.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 79.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 65.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 50.9%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Goodrow
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Goodrow
Brodziak
Last 5: Goodrow 3-2 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
2
Goodrow
Brodziak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Brodziak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (243)
53.1% (808)
+6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (10)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
47.0% (149)
+0.1%
On even strength, Goodrow has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Goodrow is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Goodrow shoots left. Brodziak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Brodziak
Home
61.2% (147)
56.6% (477)
Away
55.7% (115)
47.8% (490)
By Period
Goodrow
Brodziak
P1
61.4%
54.1%
P2
52.8%
55.5%
P3
60.7%
47.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
58.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |