Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.7%). Look for Brodziak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Brodziak 49.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 20-6 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 61.9%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 63.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.0%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Tierney
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
20
(26 meetings)
6
20
Tierney
Brodziak
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
Brodziak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
9
Tierney
Brodziak
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
9
Tierney
Brodziak
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.5% (6,432)
-1.2%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
52.8% (326)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
45.5% (1,344)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Tierney
Brodziak
Home
50.6% (3,270)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Tierney
Brodziak
P1
49.3%
49.2%
P2
47.7%
50.7%
P3
50.5%
49.5%
OT
47.4%
42.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |