Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.2%). Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Brodziak 49.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 79.1%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 68.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 53.7%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Brassard
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Brassard
Brodziak
Last 7: Brassard 2-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Brodziak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
2
Brassard
Brodziak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
2
Brassard
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
49.3% (538)
-0.8%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
22.2% (9)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
50.7% (140)
+0.8%
On power play, Brassard has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Brassard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Brassard shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Brassard
Brodziak
Home
51.7% (689)
50.0% (310)
Away
45.9% (687)
48.5% (377)
By Period
Brassard
Brodziak
P1
48.1%
49.5%
P2
51.8%
53.0%
P3
45.9%
44.7%
OT
52.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |