Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.4%). Look for Brodziak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Iginla wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 49.9% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 69.2%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 75.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 52.4%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Iginla
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Iginla
Brodziak
Last 6: Iginla 3-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
2
0
Iginla
Brodziak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Iginla
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
2
Iginla
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (183)
49.1% (601)
+1.7%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
60.4% (53)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
45.9% (109)
-8.4%
On power play, Brodziak has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Iginla is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Iginla shoots right. Brodziak is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Iginla
Brodziak
Home
51.9% (133)
50.5% (374)
Away
47.4% (114)
48.3% (389)
By Period
Iginla
Brodziak
P1
48.2%
49.1%
P2
49.3%
51.8%
P3
51.7%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 11, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |