Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Smithson wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 55.7% vs Brodziak 48.4% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 50.7%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 51.4%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 50.4%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Smithson
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Smithson
Brodziak
Last 6: Smithson 3-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Smithson
Brodziak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Smithson
Brodziak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (175)
49.2% (994)
+10.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
70.4% (27)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
40.6% (202)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Smithson has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Smithson is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Smithson shoots right. Brodziak is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Smithson
Brodziak
Home
63.2% (106)
49.6% (593)
Away
53.6% (110)
47.0% (630)
By Period
Smithson
Brodziak
P1
69.6%
48.2%
P2
48.3%
46.3%
P3
57.4%
51.3%
OT
66.7%
23.5%
Final 5 min
64.4%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
58.3%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2013 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |