Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mitchell wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.0% vs Brodziak 48.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 76.5%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 51.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 62.2%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Mitchell
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Mitchell
Brodziak
Last 9: Mitchell 6-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Brodziak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Mitchell
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
4
1
Mitchell
Brodziak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (607)
49.2% (994)
+1.4%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
70.4% (27)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (92)
40.6% (202)
-0.4%
On power play, Brodziak has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Mitchell is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Mitchell shoots left. Brodziak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (842).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Brodziak
Home
52.0% (406)
49.6% (593)
Away
47.7% (342)
47.0% (630)
By Period
Mitchell
Brodziak
P1
51.6%
48.2%
P2
44.0%
46.3%
P3
55.0%
51.3%
OT
42.9%
23.5%
Final 5 min
56.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | John Mitchell |