Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 52.6%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 89.9%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 68.9%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Toews
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Toews
Brodziak
Last 10: Toews 4-6 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Brodziak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
5
Toews
Brodziak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Toews
Brodziak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
49.3% (1,064)
+9.2%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
53.3% (105)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
47.5% (242)
+8.3%
On power play, Toews has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Toews is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Toews shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Toews
Brodziak
Home
63.0% (567)
47.8% (711)
Away
55.8% (570)
51.1% (718)
By Period
Toews
Brodziak
P1
59.6%
46.0%
P2
58.2%
52.6%
P3
60.7%
50.1%
OT
52.4%
40.5%
Final 5 min
59.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2011 | OT | 02:06 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |