Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.0% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 96.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 70.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 90.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Toews
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Toews
Brodziak
Last 7: Toews 6-1 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Brodziak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Toews
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Brodziak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (1,200)
51.4% (461)
+6.8%
Power Play
62.8% (250)
28.6% (7)
+34.2%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
40.9% (88)
+12.8%
On power play, Toews has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Toews shoots left. Brodziak is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Toews
Brodziak
Home
59.8% (805)
45.8% (277)
Away
57.3% (768)
53.0% (279)
By Period
Toews
Brodziak
P1
60.2%
50.0%
P2
60.7%
48.8%
P3
55.9%
49.7%
Final 5 min
61.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |