Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.3% vs Goc 53.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 74.3%
Defensive zone
Goc 71.8%
Neutral zone
Goc 64.3%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Brodziak
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Brodziak
Goc
Last 9: Brodziak 6-3 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
0
Brodziak
Goc
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
Goc
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
4
2
Brodziak
Goc
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (538)
54.5% (512)
-5.2%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
65.0% (20)
-42.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (140)
52.3% (153)
-1.6%
On power play, Goc has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Brodziak shoots right. Goc is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Goc
Home
50.0% (310)
57.2% (383)
Away
48.5% (377)
50.7% (302)
By Period
Brodziak
Goc
P1
49.5%
53.9%
P2
53.0%
51.2%
P3
44.7%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |