Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 51.8% vs Kempe 41.0% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 53.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 83.7%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 56.4%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Brodziak
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Brodziak
Kempe
Last 7: Brodziak 4-3 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Kempe
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
1
Brodziak
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Kempe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (631)
38.5% (312)
+14.9%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
33.3% (3)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (121)
35.7% (14)
+10.6%
On even strength, Brodziak has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Brodziak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Brodziak shoots right. Kempe is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Kempe
Home
53.9% (410)
38.8% (160)
Away
49.9% (357)
37.9% (169)
By Period
Brodziak
Kempe
P1
53.2%
35.9%
P2
56.1%
39.0%
P3
46.9%
38.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |