Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 53 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Duchene 54.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 79-74 in 153 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.2%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 75.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 51.0%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Brodziak
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
74
-
79
(153 meetings)
74
79
Brodziak
Duchene
Last 10: Brodziak 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
15
38
Brodziak
Duchene
53 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
38
15
Brodziak
Duchene
53 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
21
26
Brodziak
Duchene
47 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
53.9% (10,396)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
56.9% (1,665)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
49.1% (468)
-3.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Brodziak shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Duchene
Home
50.4% (4,044)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Brodziak
Duchene
P1
49.2%
54.5%
P2
50.7%
54.5%
P3
49.5%
53.4%
OT
42.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |