Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.3% vs Duchene 52.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 52.6%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 68.0%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 60.8%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Brodziak
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Brodziak
Duchene
Last 9: Brodziak 2-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Brodziak
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
0
Brodziak
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Brodziak
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (538)
52.6% (1,081)
-3.3%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
49.6% (119)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (140)
41.2% (17)
+9.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Brodziak shoots right. Duchene is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Duchene
Home
50.0% (310)
54.9% (625)
Away
48.5% (377)
49.3% (592)
By Period
Brodziak
Duchene
P1
49.5%
52.7%
P2
53.0%
54.1%
P3
44.7%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |