Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs Duchene 57.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 89.4%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 59.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 61.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 83.8%
16.2%
83.8%
Brodziak
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brodziak
Duchene
Last 5: Brodziak 3-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brodziak
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
0
Brodziak
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (461)
56.5% (527)
-5.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.6% (185)
-33.0%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (88)
59.3% (27)
-18.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brodziak is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Brodziak shoots right. Duchene is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Duchene
Home
45.8% (277)
57.6% (403)
Away
53.0% (279)
58.3% (336)
By Period
Brodziak
Duchene
P1
50.0%
61.4%
P2
48.8%
58.5%
P3
49.7%
54.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
62.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |