Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs Duchene 61.5% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.6%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 81.8%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 70.3%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Brodziak
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Brodziak
Duchene
Last 10: Brodziak 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
5
Brodziak
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Brodziak
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (526)
62.2% (802)
-12.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
67.3% (153)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (120)
59.4% (143)
-11.9%
On even strength, Duchene has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brodziak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Brodziak shoots right. Duchene is 65.4% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Duchene
Home
51.5% (324)
66.5% (555)
Away
47.4% (329)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Brodziak
Duchene
P1
50.0%
63.2%
P2
45.9%
59.6%
P3
52.5%
65.0%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |