Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.0%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.0% vs Backlund 48.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 61.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 65.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Brodziak
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Brodziak
Backlund
Last 7: Brodziak 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Brodziak
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Brodziak
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (809)
48.9% (568)
+1.3%
Power Play
49.5% (93)
52.3% (44)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (173)
32.7% (49)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Brodziak is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Brodziak shoots right. Backlund is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Backlund
Home
48.8% (568)
50.8% (327)
Away
49.0% (520)
45.4% (337)
By Period
Brodziak
Backlund
P1
46.4%
53.0%
P2
46.1%
47.8%
P3
53.9%
43.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2011 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |