Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs Backlund 46.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 59.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 59.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Brodziak
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Brodziak
Backlund
Last 10: Brodziak 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
5
4
Brodziak
Backlund
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
Brodziak
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
4
Brodziak
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
45.9% (410)
+3.4%
Power Play
53.3% (105)
44.8% (29)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (242)
42.9% (56)
+4.6%
On power play, Brodziak has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Brodziak shoots right. Backlund is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Backlund
Home
47.8% (711)
49.3% (217)
Away
51.1% (718)
42.3% (279)
By Period
Brodziak
Backlund
P1
46.0%
44.0%
P2
52.6%
49.4%
P3
50.1%
42.8%
OT
40.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |