Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs Backlund 48.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 67.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Brodziak
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Brodziak
Backlund
Last 10: Brodziak 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
Brodziak
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
0
Brodziak
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Brodziak
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (601)
47.3% (357)
+1.8%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
55.0% (40)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
30.0% (10)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Brodziak is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Brodziak shoots right. Backlund is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Backlund
Home
50.5% (374)
45.0% (211)
Away
48.3% (389)
50.5% (196)
By Period
Brodziak
Backlund
P1
49.1%
47.6%
P2
51.8%
53.0%
P3
46.6%
41.2%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |