Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 50.5%). Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Richards 50.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 24-21 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 75.9%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 63.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 52.7%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Brodziak
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
21
(45 meetings)
24
21
Brodziak
Richards
Last 10: Brodziak 5-5 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
5
7
Brodziak
Richards
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
12
5
Brodziak
Richards
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
7
9
Brodziak
Richards
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
50.0% (3,722)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
54.6% (445)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
51.4% (502)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Brodziak shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Richards
Home
50.4% (4,044)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Brodziak
Richards
P1
49.2%
49.6%
P2
50.7%
52.3%
P3
49.5%
49.3%
OT
42.0%
58.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Mike Richards |