Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs Thompson 52.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 70.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 76.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.7%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Brodziak
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Brodziak
Thompson
Last 6: Brodziak 3-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Brodziak
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
0
Brodziak
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (526)
56.3% (199)
-6.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
66.7% (6)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (120)
35.0% (40)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Brodziak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Brodziak shoots right. Thompson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Thompson
Home
51.5% (324)
59.5% (116)
Away
47.4% (329)
47.3% (129)
By Period
Brodziak
Thompson
P1
50.0%
47.4%
P2
45.9%
56.2%
P3
52.5%
55.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2017 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |