Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 78.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.8%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 52.2%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Brodziak
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Brodziak
Dowd
Last 10: Brodziak 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
5
Brodziak
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
1
Brodziak
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
52.4% (6,097)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
56.0% (166)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
44.2% (1,646)
+1.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Brodziak shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,697).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Dowd
Home
50.4% (4,044)
51.9% (3,947)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
49.6% (3,963)
By Period
Brodziak
Dowd
P1
49.2%
51.6%
P2
50.7%
50.4%
P3
49.5%
50.4%
OT
42.0%
45.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Dowd
58.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |