Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 48.9%). Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 59.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 73.6%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 57.6%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Brodziak
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Brodziak
Bjugstad
Last 10: Brodziak 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Brodziak
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
4
0
Brodziak
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
4
1
Brodziak
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
48.6% (6,634)
+1.9%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
55.2% (829)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
44.3% (614)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Brodziak shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Bjugstad
Home
50.4% (4,044)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Brodziak
Bjugstad
P1
49.2%
49.0%
P2
50.7%
49.1%
P3
49.5%
48.4%
OT
42.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |