Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brodziak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 48.4% vs Spaling 51.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 86.1%
Defensive zone
Spaling 51.3%
Neutral zone
Spaling 67.7%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Brodziak
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brodziak
Spaling
Last 5: Brodziak 4-1 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
0
Brodziak
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (994)
56.3% (119)
-7.1%
Power Play
70.4% (27)
40.0% (5)
+30.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (202)
44.2% (43)
-3.6%
On power play, Brodziak has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Brodziak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (842).
Brodziak shoots right. Spaling is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Spaling
Home
49.6% (593)
40.0% (45)
Away
47.0% (630)
57.4% (122)
By Period
Brodziak
Spaling
P1
48.2%
47.1%
P2
46.3%
52.2%
P3
51.3%
61.4%
OT
23.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |