Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brodziak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 48.4% vs Elias 42.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 80.7%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 72.3%
Neutral zone
Elias 57.1%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Brodziak
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brodziak
Elias
Last 5: Brodziak 2-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Brodziak
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (994)
40.2% (562)
+9.0%
Power Play
70.4% (27)
49.3% (71)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (202)
34.1% (44)
+6.5%
On power play, Brodziak has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Brodziak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (842).
Brodziak shoots right. Elias is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Elias
Home
49.6% (593)
39.9% (318)
Away
47.0% (630)
41.5% (359)
By Period
Brodziak
Elias
P1
48.2%
42.0%
P2
46.3%
38.6%
P3
51.3%
41.1%
OT
23.5%
45.2%
Final 5 min
46.5%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |